A claim reserve is an estimate of what a claim will cost. The reserve represents money
that is set aside for the eventual payment of a claim. From the company's standpoint, a
claim is incurred when it happens, regardless of when in the future it is paid.
Since reserves represent future obligations of an insurance company, they are classified
as liabilities on the company's balance sheet. Reserves are obviously important since they
can be a measure of a company's financial health. Improper reserves, either inadequate or
excessive, can present a false picture of a company's financial condition and lead to
serious problems.Some companies include estimated claim expenses in the reserve amount
while others establish a separate reserve for the claim and a separate reserve for
anticipated expenses, such as independent adjuster fees, legal fees, charges for police
reports, hospital records, appraisals, and so on.
Establishing an Appropriate Claim Reserve
Claim reserves are established essentially in two ways:
- subjectively by the claim handler's judgment; and,
- statistically or actuarially by monitoring past lost experience and projecting
future losses.
In most cases where property claims are concerned there will likely be enough
information provided at the time of reporting the claim for the claims handler to make a
subjectively informed decision as to an appropriate Opening Reserve.
The claims handler will also be expected to refer to statistical data relating to
similar claims in a particular portfolio when considering the appropriateness of an
opening claim reserve. Often reference to portfolio averages will provide further
indication of the appropriateness of the opening claim reserve.
Where the claims handler is of the opinion that they are unable to immediately set a
subjectively accurate opening claim reserve the matter should be reported to the claims
manager who shall be required to undertake further enquires in respect of the size, scope
and complexity of the claim and where necessary use statistical data to set the Opening
Reserve.
The difference, if any, between the Opening Reserve and Final Settlement serves as an
important statistic because when viewed in batch like statistics it helps an insurance
company to determine whether or not there is a systematic flaw in its reserving practice
such as consistent under or over reserving by portfolio.
There is no magic or proven formula for setting individual case reserves. They are
established essentially by the judgment and experience of the claim practitioner.
Proper and realistic case reserving is one of the primary responsibilities of the
claims department. Regardless of who sets the reserve, however, the claim adjuster is in
an ideal position to furnish the kind of information necessary to set accurate and
realistic case reserves. This necessary information includes the adjuster's opinion of
legal liability, nature and extent of the injury or damage, medical bills, and so on.
In any event, claims reserves must always be reserved on the basis of the best
information available and should always include;
- The estimated total cost of the claim to meet the obligation of the policy's cover;
- Likely settlement expenses in addition to the claim itself, including expert reports
etc' and where a dispute arises to include costs associated with legal and other
professional fees.
A claim reserve should not carry any credit or offset for excess or similar
recovery such as reinsurance or subrogation because such amount will be carried in the
company's overall books of account under "Claims Recoveries"
Individual claims reserves are specific to a point of reference, and therefore should
individually be accurate and accountable.
Example
of reserving an individual claim: |
Stage 1.
Notification by telephone from shop keeper client of broken glass and theft of some stock.
General information sought in accordance with "Telephone Claim Notification
Form". The client has already called for glass replacement who quoted $1,500 and
estimates about $5,000 of stock stolen.
Opening Reserve: $ 6,500
Stage 2.
Claim Form received with supporting material. Replacement of glass remains at $1,500
however, the client now estimates $10,000 of stock missing but cannot support the amount
by documentation. Must now appoint assessor and include in reserve such fees (i.e. $1,500)
and increased stock loss.
Amended Reserve: $ 13,000
Stage 3.
Assessor's report received, based on enquires recommends settlement in the sum of $7,500
to which the client agrees. Assessor fees $1,200 and glass remains the same.
Settlement: $ 10,200 |
Claim Reserving Industry Methodologies
Why Are Claim Reserves Necessary?
Insurance is characterized as an "intangible" product because the insured
does not receive anything material or tangible for his or her premium dollar until a claim
is paid. The payment of a claim is what consummates the insurance contract. It is
especially important, therefore, that when claims become due, money is available to meet
those obligations. Insurance companies are regulated for solvency so that they will be
able to pay claims in the future.
With respect to liability claims, and particularly bodily injury liability claims,
years may pass before a claim is paid. This might be due to the fact that time is needed
for the injury to heal or because the claim is in litigation. Because of the extended time
involved before such claims are finally settled and closed, bodily injury liability claims
are sometimes referred to as "long tail"" claims.
Since an insurer has an obligation to pay covered claims, it is understandably
important that funds be available for this purpose when claims are ultimately settled.
Claim reserves are necessary to properly recognize, at any given time, a
company's future obligations.
The importance of proper reserving is further demonstrated by the fact that claim
reserves are required by insurance regulatory law. In addition, the reserving practices of
companies are periodically audited by state insurance departments in an effort to
recognize potential problems and to take corrective action to avoid company insolvencies.
Improper reserving, both under-reserving and over-reserving, adversely affect a
company's financial position. Inadequate reserves understate a company's liabilities and
overstate its surplus. The following example, although admittedly an oversimplification,
should help demonstrate the effect of under-reserving.
A basic accounting principle is that assets minus liabilities equal surplus.
In this hypothetical example, assume that assets are $1,000 and liabilities are $750.
For purposes of illustration, assume further that liabilities are comprised totally of
claim reserves.
| Assets |
- |
Liabilities |
= |
Surplus |
| $1,000 |
- |
$750 |
= |
$250 |
Suppose, however, that this particular company has a serious under-reserving problem,
and as claims are ultimately settled, they actually cost $950, instead of the $750
originally estimated.
Under these circumstances, the balance sheet would appear as follows:
| Assets |
- |
Liabilities |
= |
Surplus |
| $1,000 |
- |
$750 |
= |
$250 (estimated) |
| $1,000 |
- |
$950 |
= |
$50 (actual) |
It is evident here that as claims are settled, the company must draw from its surplus
in order to meet its claim settlement obligations. If such a situation continues
unchecked, and surplus is depleted, the company faces insolvency.
In addition to the fact that inadequate reserving understates the company's liabilities
and overstates its surplus, it also may have a negative effect on rate making. Since
reserves are an integral part of rate making, inadequate reserves can result in rates that
are lower than they should be and this may hasten a company's decline.
Over-reserving can create problems as well. Over-reserving understates a company's
financial strength and may create the false impression that rate increases are necessary
or justified. In addition, since earnings are understated, the company pays less taxes. A
company suspected of over-reserving invites audits by the tax authorities that could
result in penalties being assessed against it.
In summary, claim reserves are necessary to properly recognize a company's future
obligations. Proper reserving is important in order to accurately reflect a company's
financial position. The importance of proper reserving is further demonstrated by the
attention given to companies' loss reserving practices by the various state insurance
departments.
Proper and realistic case reserving is one of the primary responsibilities of the claim
department. Who sets the reserve, whether it be the adjuster, supervisor, or manager, is
determined by individual company claim policy. Regardless of who sets the reserve,
however, the claim adjuster is in an ideal position to furnish the kind of information
necessary to set accurate and realistic case reserves. This necessary information includes
the adjuster's opinion of legal liability, nature and extent of the injury or damage,
medical bills, and so on.
Precisely when in the life of a claim a case reserve is established varies by
company and by line of insurance. Some companies require that case reserves be
established immediately after the initial investigation is completed or within 30 days
from notice of claim. Other companies defer setting case reserves for as long as three or
even six months, so that sufficient information can be obtained to set a relatively
realistic reserve. Until that time, these claims usually carry an average reserve.
The more specific information the adjuster obtains about the loss or claim, the more
accurate the reserve will be. With the necessary information, the person responsible for
setting the reserve can make a fairly accurate assessment of the company's exposure and
decide upon a monetary figure that represents the ultimate cost of the claim.
In those cases in which little or no payment is contemplated, such as where the
insured's liability is doubtful and the case will be defended or settled on a compromise
basis, the expense factor must be considered. An expense reserve is usually established to
reflect the fact that considerable investigative and legal expenses will be incurred to
defend the claim.
One of the problems with setting case reserves for a bodily injury claim is that it is
difficult to estimate the ultimate cost of a claim with only limited information about the
injury and no specific indication of how and to what extent the injured person will
recover. In addition, important information about the claim or injury may not be known at
the time the reserve is established. A turn for the worse in the claimant's injury, for
example, may render the initial reserve inadequate. Or a witness adverse to the insured's
position may be discovered later in the life of a claim.
The following hypothetical example or analogy might help newer claim people understand
the case reserving process more clearly:
Assume that a family of four is planning a 10-day vacation that will include driving to
a resort area several hundred miles from home. The family estimates that the entire
vacation will cost $5,000. This includes meals, hotel, gasoline, tolls, and some fun
money. Will the family simply budget for $5,000? Maybe, maybe not. It is evident that
there is an element of uncertainty in making a trip of this nature, and unforeseen events
could arise that increase the cost of the vacation. What if the car breaks down on the
way? What if a family member gets sick and must be taken to a hospital emergency room?
What if the driver gets ticketed for speeding?
For these reasons, it usually is necessary to carry additional funds (or add in a
cushion for safety) to meet these potential contingencies. In all likelihood, the family
will budget some extra amount for unforeseen contingencies, perhaps $5,500 or $6,000.
Although the family will try to keep within its $5,000 budget, chances are that the
cost of the vacation could exceed the $5,000 estimate. Likening this to a claim reserving
situation, some claim people may use the $5,000 as a reserve while others take a more
cautious or conservative view and add in an allowance for uncertainty, and might reserve
the claim at $5,500 or $6,000.
Case reserves should be checked periodically. Although most companies prefer that the
initial reserve accurately reflect the ultimate probable cost of the claim, reality
suggests rather strongly that reserves need to be adjusted periodically. As new
developments occur in a claim, whether favorable or adverse, reserves should be revised to
reflect those developments.
| Case reserve considerations: |
|
Case reserve considerations: |
- What would be a fair settlement amount?
- What would be a likely jury award?
|
|
- Claimant's impression on a jury
- Attorney skills (plaintiff and defendant)
- Local verdict climate
- Coverage or liability factors
|
Injury cases:
- Nature and extent of injury
- Medical expenses
- Lost income, past and projected
- Diagnosis
- Prognosis
- Extent of permanent disfigurement
- Age, sex, occupation, dependents, etc.
|
|
Property cases:
- Total value of damaged property
- Coverage issues
- Business interruption issues
- Non-contract issues
- Weather
- Hard-to-replace materials
- Laws affecting repair or demolition
|
Claims reserving should also include Incurred But Not Reported Claims (IBNR) -
Frequently, losses or accidents that have already happened are not reported for weeks,
months, or even years after the incident. This is quite common after a catastrophe such as
a hurricane or tornado, when early on the company does not know with any accuracy the
number or amount of claims that will be generated as a result of the catastrophe. It knows
losses have been incurred, but realizes that many of those losses will not be reported
immediately. In such cases, it estimates the losses it believes to have been incurred but
not yet reported. Despite the fact that these claims have not been reported, they are
incurred from the company's standpoint when they happen. Hence, the phrase "incurred
but not reported" is used to describe this type of reserve.
With regard to liability claims, accident reports may be delayed for a variety of
reasons. Aside from the normal time lag in reporting claims, the insured may be initially
unaware that insurance coverage is available for the claim or the claimant may not
immediately recognize that the policyholder may have been responsible for the accident.
Products liability, medical malpractice, and latent disease claims (i.e., asbestos or
lead-related claims) where injuries may not be evident for years after the occurrence or
exposure, have magnified reserving problems associated with properly estimating IBNR
reserves.
Whatever the reason for the delayed report, it is reasonably safe to assume that a
company always has outstanding claims that have not yet been reported.
Estimates for IBNR reserves ordinarily are based on past experience, to the extent
possible. They may be further modified by what actuaries believe are relatively certain
projections regarding claim frequency and severity. With respect to catastrophe losses,
the claim practitioner can estimate the areas (states, counties, etc.) and number of
insured's who may have sustained damage to arrive at an IBNR reserve, which may change
from month to month.
Conclusion
Although claim case reserving philosophy may vary by company, regardless of the methods
used, accurate claim reserving is a major component of the overall claims process. Not
only does it serve as a measure of a company's financial health, but it provides a picture
of claim trends and assists underwriters in determining whether pricing is realistic or
whether action is needed to improve results. It may be the primary responsibility of the
claim department, but claim reserving affects the entire company. An awareness and
understanding of reserves by the various functional departments contributes to more
informed and effective collaboration in gauging potential outcomes and taking the proper
steps to improve overall results. |